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Publication

KIAM Preprint № 80, Moscow, 2006
Authors: Podlazov A. V.
Russian Demographic Demodernization and Alcoholization
Abstract:
The main goal of the soft modeling is the elaboration by means of mathematical methods of conceptual apparatus for that branches of science where fundamental laws are still not known. Demography, the only among social sciences, can both measure the values necessary for theoretical studies and unambiguously treat the values measured. Thereafter, demographical topics allows to proceed with soft modeling without models as such, by dependencies reveling in data. We carried out comparison of a number of demographic and alcoholic characteristics for Russia having nearly functional relation. The life expectancy awfully low for the developed country is determined by the alcoholization of Russian society. And negative consequences of the post soviet time reforms are equivalent to its increase a quarter. Cross-national analysis of European countries showed their clusterization by pairs of the consumption level and the life expectancy due to geographical and historical causes.
Publication language: russian, pages: 20
Research direction:
Mathematical modelling in actual problems of science and technics
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